Boston @ Seattle picks

Walker Buehler's 5-4 with a 5.01 ERA, and the righty has had issues with the long ball, allowing 11 home runs in 11 starts, with four coming against left-handed hitters like Cal Raleigh. 

Jorge Polanco is expected to hit cleanup tonight and is second on the team in RBIs with 35. JP Crawford and Julio Rodriguez have done a good job of getting on base lately and the Mariners get a good matchup against a struggling Walker Buehler, who ranks in the 28th percentile in xERA and the 25th in xBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today.. Rob Refsnyder's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 46.2% to 55.6%.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.. Rowdy Tellez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 16% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Kristian Campbell has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Kristian Campbell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryan Woo.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the worst among every team today.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Roman Anthony will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Roman Anthony has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.