Arizona @ Toronto Picks & Props

AZ vs TOR Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Diamondbacks RHP Brandon Pfaadt owns a 5.50 ERA and has given up 14 home runs, including two in his last start. This opens the door for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to tap into his power reserves.

Earned Runs Allowed
Brandon Pfaadt logo Brandon Pfaadt o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Pfaadt grades out as one of the worst pitchers in baseball. He ranks in the first percentile in xERA and xBA. He's allowed 18 earned runs in his last three starts and given up three or more earned runs in six of his last eight.

MoneyLine
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's fade Brandon Pfaadt once again as he enters this game with inconsistent form over his last six starts. He's given up there or more runs in five of those six starts, and the Blue Jays' offense was rolling prior to getting swept against the Phillies. I'll take them to bounce back at home and pick up the win. 

Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Ketel Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph.
Total RBIs
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #3 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Ketel Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for RHB home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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AZ vs TOR Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Toronto

30%
70%

Total PicksAZ 238, TOR 567

Moneyline
AZ
TOR
Total

62% picking Arizona vs Toronto to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksAZ 306, TOR 189

Total
Over
Under

AZ vs TOR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage today. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage today. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ketel Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In notching a .411 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte has performed in the 99th percentile.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ketel Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In notching a .411 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte has performed in the 99th percentile.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. In the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°.

Bo Bichette logo

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. In the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 22.2%. Gabriel Moreno's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.3% to 16.9%.

Gabriel Moreno logo

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 22.2%. Gabriel Moreno's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.3% to 16.9%.

Alan Roden Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alan Roden
A. Roden
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Bats such as Alan Roden with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Alan Roden logo

Alan Roden

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Bats such as Alan Roden with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph figure. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle recently (21.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 15.5° seasonal figure.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph figure. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle recently (21.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 15.5° seasonal figure.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jose Herrera logo

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph. In the past week's worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph. In the past week's worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (-0.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 4.9° seasonal figure.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst field in the majors for righty BABIP. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (-0.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 4.9° seasonal figure.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today. Batters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today. Batters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jonatan Clase Total Hits Props • Toronto

Jonatan Clase
J. Clase
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonatan Clase will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jonatan Clase logo

Jonatan Clase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonatan Clase will hold that advantage in today's game.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Pavin Smith has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 97.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Pavin Smith has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 97.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past two weeks.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Alek Thomas will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past two weeks.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph average.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph average.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Eugenio Suarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last week.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Eugenio Suarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last week.

Will Robertson Total Hits Props • Toronto

Will Robertson
W. Robertson
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Will Robertson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Will Robertson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Will Robertson logo

Will Robertson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Will Robertson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Will Robertson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
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