Cleveland @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 stadium in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ortiz's large platoon split. Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 94-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.1-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Steven Kwan will have an edge in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Steven Kwan stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Steven Kwan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock today. Kyle Manzardo is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 20.5%.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Carlos Santana has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93-mph over the past week. In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Angel Martinez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 12.4% on the season to 21.4% in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Angel Martinez's true offensive skill to be a .291, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .022 difference between that mark and his actual .269 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Ortiz. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. There has been a significant improvement in Bo Naylor's launch angle from last year's 19.5° to 23.6° this year.

Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz in today's matchup... and even better, Ortiz has a large platoon split. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cole Young will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Cole Young's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Gabriel Arias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emerson Hancock. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Gabriel Arias has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.

Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Lane Thomas's launch angle this season (22.4°) is a significant increase over his 16.8° figure last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lane Thomas's true offensive talent to be a .312, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .107 disparity between that mark and his actual .205 wOBA.

Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. This season, Austin Hedges has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Schneemann stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme flyball batters like Daniel Schneemann generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Emerson Hancock.

Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Miles Mastrobuoni will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Miles Mastrobuoni will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Miles Mastrobuoni has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) provides evidence that Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .218 actual batting average.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Dominic Canzone will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. Dominic Canzone has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 rate is a good deal lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Dominic Canzone has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last season to 16.5% this year. Rowdy Tellez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 98.3-mph in the last 7 days.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Mitch Garver generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Ortiz. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph mark.

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Jones may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compiling a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the last week, Randy Arozarena has been in great form in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Benjamin Williamson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Benjamin Williamson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. Placing in the 91st percentile, Benjamin Williamson sits with a .355 BABIP this year.