St. Louis @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
STL vs MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
Brewers outfielder Jackson Chourio has been heating up over the last few weeks. Since sinking to a .236 batting average on May 19, Chourio is batting .304 (31-for-102) with a hit in 18 of those 24 games. He's currently riding a six-game hitting streak after going 2-for-5 with a triple on Saturday.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. Rhys Hoskins will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Rhys Hoskins has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Quinn Priester struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total Bases

William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Outs Recorded

Miles Mikolas u17.5 Outs Recorded (-135)
Projection 15.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mikolas to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) calling pitches in today's game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. Given that flyball batters hold a significant advantage over groundball pitchers, Miles Mikolas and his 35.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in this outing being matched up with 4 opposing GB batters.
Total Bases

Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Quinn Priester o16.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
Projection 16.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
It may be best to expect negative regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for batting average.. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.. Quinn Priester will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.. Quinn Priester turned in a great performance in his last GS and conceded 1 ER.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.