St. Louis @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

American Family Field profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game.

American Family Field profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera today. In today's game, Ivan Herrera is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (78th percentile). Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Alec Burleson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Alec Burleson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.6° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.8 mph to 84 mph. Brendan Donovan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (0.7° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 8.6° seasonal angle.

American Family Field profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jackson Chourio has a tough challenge today. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16% to 11.3%. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio's ability is quite poor, sporting a 5.62 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 8th percentile.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's game. With a .340 BABIP this year, Victor Scott II finds himself in the 84th percentile.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today. Caleb Durbin has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.31 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Isaac Collins has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester today. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Quinn Priester who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Nolan Gorman has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last two weeks. Over the past week, Nolan Gorman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 111.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .050 gap. Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Arenado generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester. Nolan Arenado has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.51 K/BB rate.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Rhys Hoskins will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Rhys Hoskins has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Brice Turang will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Willson Contreras has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.1% to 21.2%.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Jose Barrero has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.