Toronto @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Alan Roden's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Alan Roden will have an edge today. Alan Roden has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Alan Roden with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Wheeler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Bohm in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Batters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Wheeler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 96.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (24.6° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 14th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Bo Bichette has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Otto Kemp's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors. In the last 7 days, Otto Kemp has posted a 33.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Ernie Clement has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph EV. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 47.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. George Springer has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 20.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. The Barrel% of Addison Barger has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 15% this year.

Jonatan Clase's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonatan Clase will get to bat from his good side against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Jonatan Clase has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive talent to be a .332, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .291 wOBA.

Max Kepler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's game. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Max Kepler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.9% up to 18.8%.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.