Toronto @ Philadelphia picks

Jose Berríos has surrendered just one earned run over his last three starts, and the Blue Jays right-hander has limited the Phillies to a .698 OPS over his career. Back the Jays to win in the City of Brotherly Love.

Jose Berrios has allowed fewer than five hits in four straight outings and six of his last seven, including a start against this Phillies lineup, where he threw six innings of four-hit baseball — giving up just one run. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 96.2-mph over the last two weeks.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 16.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 27.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.5-mph average.

When estimating his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive talent to be a .332, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .291 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 96.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 96.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the league, Citizens Bank Park's LF fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Berrios in today's matchup.. Jose Berrios allowed a staggering 6 earned runs in his last start.. Jose Berrios's 91.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.7-mph drop off from last season's 93.5-mph figure.. Jose Berrios's 2144-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 16th percentile out of all starters.

Jonatan Clase's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonatan Clase will get to bat from his good side against Zack Wheeler in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.. Jonatan Clase has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.