San Diego @ Arizona picks

Zac Gallen has been one of the Arizona Diamondbacks best pitchers over the last few years, but that is far from the case in 2025. The 29-year-old is having a forgettable campaign, going 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA in 14 starts. He’s had serious issues with the long ball, allowing 14 home runs already. Gallen has held the San Diego Padres lineup to a .236 average across 123 at-bats, but he’s been a nightmare at Chase Field. Gallen has a 6.38 ERA at home in eight outings compared to a 3.79 ERA on the road. Although the Padres’ offense isn’t too consistent so far, this feels like a perfect opportunity to hit around Gallen.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94.7-mph over the past week.

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as MLB's 19th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ryan Bergert has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Martin Maldonado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 48.4% on the season to 63.6% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Bergert in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Bergert is projected to throw 76 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of the day.. It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) in charge of the strike zone today.. Projected catcher Martin Maldonado profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) in charge of the strike zone today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Zac Gallen's fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.8 mph).. Zac Gallen has notched a 5.02 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Extreme groundball batters like Gabriel Moreno are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.