Pittsburgh @ Chicago picks

Suzuki has three bombs in June, and they’ve all come in the last seven games. The 30-year-old is in the middle of a five-game hitting streak as well.

Matthew Boyd has been quite solid across his last three starts, allowing more than one earned run just once. The Pirates are Bottom 5 in most major hitting categories vs. southpaws.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Seiya Suzuki has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last year to 18.4% this year.

Clint Vondrak projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in this game.. Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Matthew Boyd and his 38.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in today's matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.. Considering the 1.11 difference between Matthew Boyd's 2.89 ERA and his 4.00 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress the rest of the season.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Henry Davis has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks.. Henry Davis has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 85.5-mph figure.