Cleveland @ Seattle Picks & Props

Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Cole Young's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Gabriel Arias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Castillo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Gabriel Arias has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Schneemann stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Hitters such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Castillo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Carlos Santana has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93-mph in the last week's worth of games. Carlos Santana has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

Jose Ramirez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.5% to 20.5%.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. Dominic Canzone has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .197 figure is a fair amount lower than his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Dominic Canzone has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), placing in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive skill to be a .362, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .036 difference between that mark and his actual .326 wOBA.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kyle Manzardo may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Benjamin Williamson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Benjamin Williamson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 92.4-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game. In comparison to his 90.4-mph average last year, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. Steven Kwan may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Lane Thomas's launch angle from last year's 16.8° to 22.4° this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lane Thomas's true offensive talent to be a .312, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .107 deviation between that figure and his actual .205 wOBA.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last year to 16.3% this year. Rowdy Tellez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last season to 20.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Nolan Jones will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.

Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Bo Naylor may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Bo Naylor's launch angle this season (23.6°) is considerably better than his 19.5° figure last year.

Angel Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.