St. Louis @ Milwaukee picks

The clear pitching advantage in this matchup goes to the Brewers as Erick Fedde gets the ball for the Cardinals. Fedde owns a 5.28 expected ERA (xERA) and ranks in the bottom fifth of the league in expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity, strikeout rate, and walk rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Ivan Herrera has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.7-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph average.

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The 8th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's game.. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Victor Scott II has posted a .330 BABIP this year.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Freddy Peralta has used his four-seam fastball 6% more often this season (59.8%) than he did last season (53.8%).. Freddy Peralta has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.69 rate is quite a bit lower than his 4.02 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).