Toronto @ Philadelphia picks

The Jays might be rolling right now, but Ranger Suarez is dealing, and the Phillies should be able to take advantage of home field and hand Kevin Gausman his fifth loss of the season. 

Kyle Schwarber has already clubbed 21 home runs and driven in 47 runs while hitting .246. He’s 3-for-12 lifetime off Kevin Gausman, and all three hits have been home runs.

There arguably isn't a hotter hitter in baseball than Kirk. The Blue Jays catcher is hitting .467 with a 1.189 OPS, with six extra-base hits and 12 RBIs over his last 12 games. 

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Max Kepler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Max Kepler has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. The Barrel% of Addison Barger has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 15.2% this season.. Addison Barger has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.2% seasonal rate to 22.5% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nick Castellanos has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last week.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 9th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Citizens Bank Park.. Kevin Gausman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. As a team, Philadelphia Phillies hitters have done well when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 3rd-best in the game.