Cincinnati @ Detroit picks

Brant Hurter will be the opener today vs. the Reds but his length is longer than most openers. He threw 44 pitches on Tuesday and has gone more than three outs in all but three of his 19 games. In his two starts, he has 17 outs and five punchouts. THE BAT is projecting just over three Ks on 47 pitches. Derek Carty even released the 4+ punchouts at +240. This will be a sweaty run but a K/inning across nine outs is very doable and we’re getting plus money. He is a K/inning pitcher facing a Reds offense that has a Top-10 highest K% in baseball. 

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain).. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the best pitching conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Brant Hurter will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brant Hurter.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brant Hurter is a pitch-to-contact type (11th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When it comes to his home run skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez today.

Carlos Torres projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.. Comerica Park profiles as the #8 park in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Nick Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.. Connor Joe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph average.. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 40.4% to 45.9%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When it comes to his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup.. Will Benson has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (32.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brant Hurter doesn't generate many whiffs (4th percentile K%) — great news for Benson.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brant Hurter.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brant Hurter is a pitch-to-contact type (11th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.