Cincinnati @ Detroit Picks & Props

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Connor Joe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph average. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 40.4% to 45.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Brant Hurter throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Gavin Lux has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brant Hurter. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Tyler Stephenson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph EV.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Will Benson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last season's 93.4-mph EV. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 56.5%.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. In the past 7 days, Jake Fraley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.4-mph of late. Jake Fraley's launch angle this season (18°) is significantly better than his 10.9° angle last season.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.1° angle over the past two weeks. Despite posting a .275 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Steer has had some very poor luck given the .032 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Martinez. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's game. Wenceel Perez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.4% rate last season to 15.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. In the last week, Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph lately. Matt McLain's launch angle lately (10.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 15.9° seasonal figure.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brant Hurter throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, TJ Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27° figure in the last 7 days.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. In the past week, Santiago Espinal's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.5-mph over the course of the season to 89.4-mph recently. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, notching a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .023 deviation.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 54.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Baez has posted a .337 BABIP this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Jake Rogers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.275) provides evidence that Jake Rogers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .257 actual wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 14.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Dillon Dingler will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.6° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Cincinnati's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Parker Meadows, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage in today's game.