Texas @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
TEX vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Patrick Corbin has rejuvenated his career and Bailey Ober is coming off what looks like an anomaly outing. Neither team has a particularly potent offense this season and we're getting a good number for the Under.
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Byron Buxton went deep on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, finishing 3-for-3 with three RBI. Buxton is hitting .279 on the year and has six hits already in this series vs. Texas. Today’s matchup certainly plays in his favor, too, as the Rangers will send Patrick Corbin to the hill — and Buxton has two career bombs off of him.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (20.6°) is significantly higher than his 14.8° angle last year.. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .275 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .047 disparity.
Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all the teams playing today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Wyatt Langford's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.4°) is significantly higher than his 11.5° angle last season.
Total RBIs

Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 16th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Byron Buxton will have an advantage in today's game.. Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin doesn't generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Willi Castro's 64.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average skill, Corey Seager is projected as the 16th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Last year, Marcus Semien had an average launch angle of 13.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.7°.. In the last 14 days, Marcus Semien's 68% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.