Toronto @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Addison Barger is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Addison Barger has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last year to 15.6% this season. Over the last 14 days, Addison Barger has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.6% to 22.2%. Addison Barger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph figure.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Nolan Gorman has a tough challenge in today's game. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Nolan Gorman's launch angle from last season's 20.4° to 23.4° this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Lars Nootbaar will be in a tough position today. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Victor Scott II meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup. George Springer has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 21.4% this season.

In today's matchup, Ernie Clement is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (80th percentile). Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alejandro Kirk in today's game.

Masyn Winn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonatan Clase has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Jonatan Clase has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 88.2-mph. In the past 7 days, Jonatan Clase's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle of late (-5.6° in the past week) is considerably worse than his 7.3° seasonal mark.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eric Lauer will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Burleson in today's matchup. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.7-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph average.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yohel Pozo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Yohel Pozo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. In the past 7 days, Myles Straw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88-mph over the course of the season to 91.3-mph lately. Myles Straw's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 16.5% on the season to 28.6% in the last week.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Tyler Heineman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Davis Schneider has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .281 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301. Davis Schneider's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Davis Schneider has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 24.4° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (99th percentile).

Jose Barrero has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.