Los Angeles @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
LAD vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (24.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 10.3° seasonal figure.. Based on Statcast data, Teoscar Hernandez grades out in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.. With a .349 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Teoscar Hernandez grades out in the 89th percentile.
Total RBIs

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) suggests that Xander Bogaerts has had bad variance on his side this year with his .282 actual wOBA.
Total RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Lou Trivino in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 40.2% on the season to 57.1% over the last 7 days.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Lou Trivino throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game.. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Lou Trivino throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Mookie Betts has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last two weeks.. Mookie Betts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 17.4% to 20.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Martin Maldonado will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.