New York @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 4th-deepest CF fences today. Typically, bats like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Noah Cameron. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 100.5-mph figure last season has dropped to 98.4-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.407) provides evidence that Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year with his .515 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s launch angle of late (22.8° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 17° seasonal figure. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15.3% to 28%.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. In terms of his batting average, Paul Goldschmidt has been lucky this year. His .312 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Jac Caglianone will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.9°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° figure last year. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 68.4% in the last 14 days. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .221 BA is quite a bit lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Trent Grisham has recorded a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile. Sporting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year, Trent Grisham has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Ben Rice has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 90-mph EV. Ben Rice has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .241 BA is considerably lower than his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Based on Statcast data, Cody Bellinger grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 90th percentile with a 19.6° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge in today's matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball hitters like DJ LeMahieu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Noah Cameron.

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Anthony Volpe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Oswald Peraza will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron in today's game. Oswald Peraza has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.8-mph in the last 14 days. Over the past 14 days, Oswald Peraza's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 12.5%. Oswald Peraza has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .257 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin's launch angle this year (15.2°) is considerably higher than his 10.8° angle last season. Sporting a .261 batting average since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin has performed in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Drew Waters has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.3% to 12.5%. In the past two weeks, Drew Waters's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's game.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°. Mark Canha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Mark Canha will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.