New York @ Kansas City picks

Aaron Judge is third in MLB with 55 RBI and faces left-handed pitcher Noah Cameron who, despite his good numbers overall, doesn't miss bats and may be surviving on a healthy dose of good fortune.

Fried is 8-1 this season with a 1.78 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP, and I expect him to dominate a Kansas City lineup that only managed 10 runs in a disappointing weekend series against the Chicago White Sox. The Under on 5.5 hits allowed jumps out as a value pick, with the New York lefty cashing that prop in nine of his last 11 starts.

When it comes to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Trent Grisham has recorded a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.. Trent Grisham has averaged 34 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile for power.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s launch angle of late (22.8° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 17° seasonal figure.. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15.3% to 28%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.9°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° figure last year.. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 68.4% in the last 14 days.. Austin Wells has compiled a .347 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 5th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Bobby Witt Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Ben Rice has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 90-mph EV.. Ben Rice has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .241 BA is considerably lower than his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 98.4-mph.

When it comes to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Trent Grisham has recorded a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.. Trent Grisham has averaged 34 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile for power.

When it comes to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Trent Grisham has recorded a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.. Trent Grisham has averaged 34 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile for power.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Ben Rice has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 90-mph EV.. Ben Rice has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .241 BA is considerably lower than his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.