Boston @ New York props

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jarren Duran has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past week. Over the past two weeks, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an edge today. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Romy Gonzalez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Rob Refsnyder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Rob Refsnyder has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. In the last week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently. Compared to last year, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.5% to 21.9% this season.

The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. In the past week, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 25%. Trevor Story has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 102.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. In notching a .388 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Rafael Devers finds himself in the 94th percentile. Rafael Devers has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 1.31 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Kristian Campbell will have an advantage in today's game. Kristian Campbell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Kristian Campbell tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham has compiled a .355 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Trent Grisham's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 24.2% seasonal rate to 40% over the past 7 days. Aaron Judge has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 98.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Hunter Dobbins today. Jasson Dominguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Volpe has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph EV. Anthony Volpe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 92.9-mph.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Carlos Narvaez sports a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, DJ LeMahieu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 20%. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 15.4% on the season to 30% in the past week. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 56.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge today. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Austin Wells has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.8-mph over the last 14 days. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° angle last season. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Paul Goldschmidt sits with a .366 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Paul Goldschmidt has notched a .321 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

J.C. Escarra will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game. J.C. Escarra will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Oswald Peraza has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.