Los Angeles @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
LAD vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Despite some time missed to injury, Teoscar Hernandez has 10 home runs to his name and has gone 3-for-6 with a pair of long balls against Cardinals SP Erick Fedde.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle lately (31.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal mark.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Max Muncy will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Over the past week, Andy Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 17.4%.. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 48.4% on the season to 58.7% in the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today's game.. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle lately (31.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal mark.. Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .366 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle lately (31.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal mark.. Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .366 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Max Muncy o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Max Muncy will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Arenado o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Arenado are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Nolan Arenado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph average.
Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup.. Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last year's 99-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's game.. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Victor Scott II has posted a .329 BABIP this year.