LIVE Top 3rd Jul 7
TB 0 -110 o8.5
DET 2 -110 u8.5
MIA +123 o9.0
CIN -134 u9.0
LIVE Top 1st Jul 7
COL 0 +211 o10.5
BOS 0 -234 u10.5
TOR -159 o8.5
CHW +146 u8.5
LAD -130 o7.5
MIL +120 u7.5
PIT +130 o8.5
KC -142 u8.5
CLE +112 o7.0
HOU -122 u7.0
TEX -126 o7.5
LAA +116 u7.5
AZ +104 o8.5
SD -112 u8.5
PHI -135 o7.5
SF +115 u7.5

Chicago @ Detroit props

Comerica Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. Typically, bats like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keider Montero. Kyle Tucker has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. Typically, bats like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keider Montero. Kyle Tucker has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph lately. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 18.1% to 22.8%. Over the last week, Michael Busch's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph lately. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 18.1% to 22.8%. Over the last week, Michael Busch's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's game. Wenceel Perez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Wenceel Perez has been hot lately, posting a a 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last two weeks. Compiling a 94.1-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Wenceel Perez has been in great form in recent games. Wenceel Perez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 34.8% of the time over the last two weeks.

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's game. Wenceel Perez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Wenceel Perez has been hot lately, posting a a 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last two weeks. Compiling a 94.1-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Wenceel Perez has been in great form in recent games. Wenceel Perez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 34.8% of the time over the last two weeks.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Typically, hitters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keider Montero. Seiya Suzuki has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 17.2% this season. Using Statcast data, Seiya Suzuki grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Typically, hitters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keider Montero. Seiya Suzuki has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 17.2% this season. Using Statcast data, Seiya Suzuki grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Pete Crow-Armstrong's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (23.7°) is quite a bit better than his 20.6° figure last year.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Pete Crow-Armstrong's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (23.7°) is quite a bit better than his 20.6° figure last year.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 21.5%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Gleyber Torres's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 21.5%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Gleyber Torres's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Keider Montero. Over the last week, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 18.8%. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 50.3%.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Keider Montero. Over the last week, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 18.8%. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 50.3%.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nico Hoerner's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has notched a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nico Hoerner has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate. Nico Hoerner has notched a .292 batting average this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nico Hoerner's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has notched a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nico Hoerner has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate. Nico Hoerner has notched a .292 batting average this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dansby Swanson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 18.3%. Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dansby Swanson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 18.3%. Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .256 actual wOBA. Jake Rogers has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 20.9° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (97th percentile).

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .256 actual wOBA. Jake Rogers has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 20.9° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (97th percentile).

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Shaw has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Shaw has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Zach McKinstry will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 53.6% this season. In the last 7 days, Zach McKinstry's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 52.6%. Posting a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Zach McKinstry has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Zach McKinstry will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 53.6% this season. In the last 7 days, Zach McKinstry's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 52.6%. Posting a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Zach McKinstry has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.3°, Trey Sweeney has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.3° figure over the last 14 days. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trey Sweeney has had bad variance on his side given the .023 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.3°, Trey Sweeney has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.3° figure over the last 14 days. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trey Sweeney has had bad variance on his side given the .023 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Spencer Torkelson has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 14.2% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 30.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.7°.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Spencer Torkelson has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 14.2% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 30.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.7°.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Riley Greene has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 18.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Riley Greene has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 18.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.5° mark in the last week.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.5° mark in the last week.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Javier Baez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 91.9-mph. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 35% to 42%. Ranking in the 85th percentile, Javier Baez has notched a .338 BABIP this year.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Javier Baez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 91.9-mph. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 35% to 42%. Ranking in the 85th percentile, Javier Baez has notched a .338 BABIP this year.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year's 91.4 mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 96th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .377. Sporting a .386 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carson Kelly grades out in the 93rd percentile. Sporting a 0.95 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year's 91.4 mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 96th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .377. Sporting a .386 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Carson Kelly grades out in the 93rd percentile. Sporting a 0.95 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage today. Parker Meadows has been hot lately, putting up a 92.9-mph average exit velocity in the past week. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Parker Meadows and his 19.7% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage today. Parker Meadows has been hot lately, putting up a 92.9-mph average exit velocity in the past week. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Parker Meadows and his 19.7% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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