Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Over the past two weeks, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 95 mph to 91.6 mph.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the last week, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92.1 mph to 89.2 mph.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand today. Jackson Holliday may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Holliday has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Ryan O'Hearn has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 39.1% to 53.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. J.P. Crawford's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (23.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 13.2° seasonal mark.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 45.7% on the season to 62.2% in the past 14 days. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Ramon Urias has posted a .274 batting average this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Adley Rutschman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.8-mph over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) suggests that Adley Rutschman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage against Emerson Hancock today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Heston Kjerstad can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Heston Kjerstad has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Heston Kjerstad has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.7-mph. Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year, notching a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .059 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's matchup. Colton Cowser is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Colton Cowser has put up a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Donovan Solano will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 20.6%.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Benjamin Williamson has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Povich. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Dylan Moore's launch angle in recent games (25.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 19.4° seasonal mark.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Mitch Garver will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cade Povich. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.