Baltimore @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
BAL vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Cal Raleigh is having a massive campaign so far for the Seattle Mariners. Raleigh is hitting .259 with an MLB-best 23 home runs and 45 RBI. The catcher has four long balls in his last seven games. He’s unstoppable at the moment. While he’s never faced Cade Povich, who gets the start for the Baltimore Orioles tonight, the righty has a 5.29 ERA and has given up nine bombs already. Fifteen of Raleigh’s homers have come against right-handed hurlers, and he’s also smacked 12 long balls at home.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game.. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors's 5th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cade Povich.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dylan Moore o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Dylan Moore's launch angle in recent games (25.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 19.4° seasonal mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Leody Taveras o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.7-mph.. Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year, notching a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .059 difference.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dylan Carlson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 39.1% to 53.1%.