Arizona @ Atlanta picks

Ronald Acuña, Jr. and Austin Riley have a history of success against Gallen and will be looking to punish him if he falls behind again. As a team, the Braves are hitting .256 against RHP and slugging .400, and their home/away splits favor them to have a strong performance. On the flip side, Spencer Strider looked much more locked in against the Phillies last Tuesday. Although he took the loss for the third time in as many starts, he gave up just one run on one hit through 4 ⅔ IP while striking out seven.
Gallen has allowed 10 home runs already this season through 12 starts. It’s a key reason why he’s given up at least four earned runs in four straight starts, despite not getting through the sixth inning in any of them. The Diamondbacks have won just two of their last 10 games, and another poor start by Gallen will sink them here. Take the Braves to lead after the fifth inning.

Although Austin Riley has gotten off to a slower start from a power standpoint, he’s one of the best home run hitters in the National League. The slugger had three consecutive 30+ home run seasons between 2021 and 2023. When he connects, the baseball goes a long way. Riley has 10 bombs so far while batting .275. The third baseman has two long balls in his last four games, and he’ll like tonight’s matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen gets the calls versus Atlanta, and Riley is 6 for 16 against him with a home run. The infielder is hitting .280 against righties with eight bombs compared to .259 with only two homers against left-handed pitchers. Five of his long balls have come at home as well, and he’s batting over .300 at Truist Park.

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the league's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Truist Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today.. Batters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Strider who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 43.9% to 48.9%.