Los Angeles @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of the day at 59°. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .048 discrepancy. Steven Kwan's 2.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 11th percentile this year. Checking in at the 2nd percentile, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.1 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Bats such as Luis Rengifo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Gavin Williams who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Luis Rengifo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph mark.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Chris Taylor's launch angle this year (22.8°) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° figure last season. Chris Taylor has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .198 BA is considerably lower than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of the day at 59°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.326) implies that Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year with his .386 actual wOBA. Grading out in the 19th percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 23.5% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of 100 mph or greater.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Gavin Williams.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Taylor Ward is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Taylor Ward has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today's game. Hitters such as Bo Naylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Bo Naylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck given the .036 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Logan O'Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand today. Daniel Schneemann will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last season to 16.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Trout's true offensive skill to be a .375, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .064 disparity between that mark and his actual .311 wOBA. Mike Trout has posted a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage over Jack Kochanowicz in today's game. Nolan Jones has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output. Jo Adell pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Jo Adell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last year's 94.1-mph EV. Jo Adell's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 38.3% to 44.4%.

David Fry has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.