Minnesota @ Seattle picks

Bryce Miller’s strikeout rate is down four points to a measly 20.1% this year, and most alarmingly, his walk rate has jumped to 12.1%. That’s put the onus on the youngster to rack up outs on contact, and to this point, we haven’t seen him do it. He’s allowed 11 earned runs in two starts this month and has also experienced a huge drop in whiff rate. The Mariners have also lost their way a bit with a 16th-ranked wRC+ in the last two weeks, failing to provide any sort of pop with a .145 Isolated Power. Against a master of control in Bailey Ober, this offense should fail to find any sort of consistency.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Bailey Ober in today's matchup.. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Leody Taveras has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bailey Ober today.. In his last start, Bailey Ober allowed a monstrous 8 earned runs.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today.. Mitch Garver has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today.. Kody Clemens has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 14 days.