Pittsburgh @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
PIT vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Andrew McCutchen has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 17.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Dylan Cease in this game.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Martin Maldonado will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game.. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. This season, Martin Maldonado has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.6 mph compared to last year's 93.5 mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alexander Canario o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Alexander Canario ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Alexander Canario's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (27° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 17.4° seasonal angle.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Henry Davis's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.18 ft/sec now.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ke'Bryan Hayes o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV.. When it comes to his home runs, Ke'Bryan Hayes has had bad variance on his side this year. His 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.3.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Dylan Cease u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. Jansen Visconti grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.. Projected catcher Martin Maldonado projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.