Chicago @ Baltimore picks

This game was bumped up to 4:30 pm ET because of rain. That has forced the Chicago White Sox to use an opener in lefty Jared Shuster before Sean Burke gets the ball. Shuster went seven outs in his last game and threw 31 pitches on the 27th. He should be able to see the order one time, and the K/inning pitcher will have a chance to flirt with the Over on this number, which is taking some money. I’d play this to even money as there is some in-and-out risk, but the Baltimore Orioles are one of the worst K% teams vs. left-handed pitchers, and this could hit in the first frame. 

The White Sox score a run in the first inning at the fifth-highest rate (35.7%) in the majors. They should get on the board early tonight against Zach Eflin. Eflin has a 6.14 FIP through six starts and has pitched to a 7.50 ERA in the first inning. Baltimore's lineup should also have success against White Sox righty Sean Burke. The O's struggle against strikeout artists but when they make contact, they crush the ball. Burke is in the bottom 15th percentile in strikeout rate while sitting in the bottom 10th percentile in xERA (5.91). 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Burke to throw 76 pitches in this game (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Sean Burke will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Burke in today's game.. Sean Burke has recorded a 17.2% K% this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.. In the past two weeks, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.. Mike Tauchman has been hot of late, putting up a .417 wOBA over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Burke in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Emmanuel Rivera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's game.. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.