Cincinnati @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Typically, batters like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Greene.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Dairon Blanco generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

Santiago Espinal has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams playing today. Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Santiago Espinal's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.1°) is significantly lower than his 11.3° figure last year. Santiago Espinal has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .273 rate is a fair amount higher than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. TJ Friedl has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate. Grading out in the 90th percentile, TJ Friedl has notched a .292 batting average this year.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Elly De La Cruz are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Noah Cameron.

The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Freddy Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has suffered from bad luck given the .058 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage today.

Drew Waters's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Hunter Greene. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron today. Garrett Hampson grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.2% rate since the start of last season).

The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, John Rave will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game. Austin Hays has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 15.8% this year.

The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Spencer Steer will have the upper hand today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Steer's true offensive talent to be a .312, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .277 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Maikel Garcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Loftin will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.270) suggests that Nick Loftin has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .240 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.

The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Connor Joe will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron in today's matchup.

Mark Canha has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.