Miami @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
MIA vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Manny Machado has been on a tear for the San Diego Padres, going 8-for-19 with three home runs in his last five games. The Marlins send out veteran Sandy Alcantara. The 2022 NL Cy Young Award winner had been far off his peak performance, rocking an 8.04 ERA through 10 starts. Machado has feasted on this matchup in the past, going 6-for-9 with a 1.417 OPS.
Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Because of Kyle Hart's huge platoon split, Otto Lopez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Bats such as Otto Lopez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Hart who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hart in today's matchup... and even better, Hart has a huge platoon split.. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hart in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Hart has a huge platoon split.. Agustin Ramirez has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .343 wOBA in the past 7 days.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Sandy Alcantara o17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 18.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Sandy Alcantara's overall pitching skill grades out in the 87th percentile among all starters in baseball currently.. Recording 95.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Sandy Alcantara checks in at the 89th percentile.. The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. In his previous outing, Sandy Alcantara was on point and gave up 2 ER.. Sandy Alcantara's 96.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 97th percentile among all SPs.
Total Bases

Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hart in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Hart has a huge platoon split.. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.