Pittsburgh @ Arizona Picks & Props

PIT vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen u17.5 Outs Recorded (+160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a big plus-money price for an Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher struggling to get deep thanks to some terrible walk numbers. Zac Gallen has pitched 61+ innings this year but has also issued 29 free passes. This has led to multiple walks in nine straight starts. He's also failed to record 18 outs in three straight. That includes a 100-pitch outing vs. St. Louis in his last start where he walked four. THE BAT is projecting 17.3 outs, making this about a coin flip but at good money. There are some bats in this Pittsburgh Pirates lineup that can do some damage and Oneil Cruz hits righties much harder with a .967 OPS this year. I’d play this to +115 today with my MLB picks. 

Earned Runs Allowed
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

It’s no secret that Paul Skenes is one of the best pitchers in the game, and he’s proving that in 2025. The right-hander boasts a 2.35 ERA, striking out 70 in 68 2/3 innings of work while walking just 18 batters. Skenes may not always get a ton of run support, but he keeps his team in ballgames. The flamethrower has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in three consecutive outings, giving up just one in each of those starts against the Milwaukee Brewers, Philadelphia Phillies, and New York Mets.

Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Zac Gallen.
Total RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Alexander Canario ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alexander Canario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the game's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jared Triolo logo
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jared Triolo's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jared Triolo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Zac Gallen.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the game's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Joey Bart logo
Joey Bart o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Compared to last season, Joey Bart has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 54% this season.. Joey Bart has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 3.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 18.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. The standard deviation of Joey Bart's launch angle since the start of last season (25.3°) is in the 94th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Alexander Canario ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alexander Canario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
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PIT vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

PIT vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jared Triolo's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jared Triolo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jared Triolo's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jared Triolo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Herrera logo

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.1 mph.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Ke'Bryan Hayes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.1 mph.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Compared to last season, Joey Bart has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 54% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) suggests that Joey Bart has been unlucky this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Compared to last season, Joey Bart has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 54% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) suggests that Joey Bart has been unlucky this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zac Gallen.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zac Gallen.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.16 ft/sec this year, Henry Davis is notably toolsy.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.16 ft/sec this year, Henry Davis is notably toolsy.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Alexander Canario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alexander Canario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

Jordan Lawlar Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jordan Lawlar
J. Lawlar
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jordan Lawlar's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jordan Lawlar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jordan Lawlar logo

Jordan Lawlar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jordan Lawlar's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jordan Lawlar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders

Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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