St. Louis @ Baltimore picks

We hit on Tuesday with the Cards, and we will go back to the well once more on Wednesday. They'll have the pitching advantage here with Mikolas going up against Cade Povich, and given the O's offensive woes, this is a perfect spot for Mikolas to deal. 

Right-handed bats have especially throttled Orioles SP Cade Povich, slashing .288/.355/.464. He's also fared much worse at home, where he's watched seven of those eight homers leave the ballpark, leaving him with a 6.75 ERA at Camden Yards. And even in his career twilight, Nolan Arenado is hitting .292 vs. southpaws in 2025 (not far off his career mark of .297). And if Povich gives way to the bullpen early, Orioles relievers have a collective 5.45 ERA (fourth-highest in MLB).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich in today's matchup.. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 45.8% to 55.9%.. In the past 7 days, Brendan Donovan has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .371.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge in today's matchup.. Masyn Winn has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88-mph average.. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.5°) is considerably higher than his 13° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.2% to 49.3%.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (24.9°) is a significant increase over his 21.5° angle last year.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich today.. Ivan Herrera has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.03 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is remarkably quick.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.