Miami @ San Diego picks

There are a few angles to hit here, as I debated putting up the Under 17.5 outs at +130. I do have that play in my account, but I also like this Over earned runs prop, too. Max Meyer is coming off a season-high 99 pitches in his last start, where he pitched well, allowing one run over 18 outs. However, he had allowed 19 runs over his previous four starts before that and made it past 15 outs just one time over that four-game stretch. THE BAT is projecting 2.75 earned runs today. It’s a tough road matchup vs. a good offense, and the Miami Marlins starter is significantly worse on the road than at home.

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Eric Wagaman's 91.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in Major League Baseball this year: 77th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Matt Mervis has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Mervis.. Matt Mervis's speed has increased this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.

Quinn Wolcott profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Max Meyer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 77%.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.