Kansas City @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
KC vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Salvador Perez has had a strong end to his week and is worth backing on Sunday. Over his past two games, Perez boasts a .556 batting average, 1.000 slugging percentage, and 1.600 OPS. He has hit one home run and one double over nine at-bats. That success could continue against right-hander Bailey Ober, who takes the mound for Minnesota. In 24 plate appearances against Ober, Perez has homered twice and recorded a .727 slugging percentage.
Total RBIs

Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Salvador Perez has paced 25.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Salvador Perez's 13.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 82nd percentile this year.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.. Compared to last season, Bobby Witt Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.7% to 49.6% this season.
Total RBIs

Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Kris Bubic in today's game.. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Carlos Correa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Vinnie Pasquantino is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Sporting a 25.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 84th percentile for power.
Outs Recorded

Kris Bubic u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Todd Tichenor) calling pitches in today's game.. Target Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in the game for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kris Bubic will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Kris Bubic's 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.. Kris Bubic has been lucky this year, compiling a 1.47 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.93 — a 2.46 gap.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Trevor Larnach o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Salvador Perez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Salvador Perez has paced 25.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Salvador Perez's 13.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 82nd percentile this year.
Total Bases

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Vinnie Pasquantino is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Sporting a 25.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 84th percentile for power.