San Diego @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Manny Machado faces a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.

Grant Holmes will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 15.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Over the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Sean Reynolds will have the handedness advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Jason Heyward has been unlucky this year, notching a .217 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .078 deviation.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today.

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Jackson Merrill's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.7% down to 0%. Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 21.3% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill's true offensive skill to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .056 difference between that figure and his actual .401 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Sean Reynolds in today's matchup.

Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Elias Diaz has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last year's 7.3° to 16.4° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Brandon Lockridge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.

Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Nick Allen usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Reynolds.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Reynolds in today's matchup.

In today's matchup, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.2% rate (96th percentile). Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph mark last year has fallen off to 84.6-mph. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 84.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 60.4-mph over the past 7 days. Luis Arraez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Drake Baldwin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.