San Diego @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
SD vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Game Prop
Pick made: 26 days ago

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
Michael King has become an elite starter since making the move from the bullpen last year. He has a 2.59 ERA through 10 starts and has been lights out in the opening frame, pitching to a 0.90 ERA with an OBA of .125. Atlanta will start Grant Holmes who has a 4.01 ERA though nine starts but has been solid in the first inning where opponents are batting just .138 against him. The Padres have struggled to hit lefties (.682 OPS). They've also been ice-cold at the dish lately, ranking 23rd in the majors in OPS (.684) over the last 30 days.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill as the 15th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Drake Baldwin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today.
Total Bases

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Truist Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Reynolds in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Elias Diaz o0.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Elias Diaz has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last year's 7.3° to 16.4° this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park projects as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.