Arizona @ St. Louis Picks & Props

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium's right field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year. His .398 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .363.

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today's game. Bats such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Miles Mikolas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jose Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Grading out in the 98th percentile, Ketel Marte has put up a .394 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season. Ketel Marte has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today. Willson Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 95.9-mph in the past two weeks. Willson Contreras has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .223 figure is a good deal lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Gabriel Moreno has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 90-mph average.

Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Victor Scott II has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today.

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game. Alec Burleson may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Placing in the 92nd percentile, Pavin Smith sits with a .387 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Posting a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, Pavin Smith has performed in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.5-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.7° mark in the last two weeks. Sporting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ivan Herrera has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last season to 18.9% this year. Compared to last season, Ivan Herrera has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.6% to 64.9% this season.

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today. Nolan Gorman is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (28.4°) is significantly better than his 24.5° figure last season. Nolan Gorman has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .252 figure is deflated compared to his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11.4% rate last year to 17.4% this season. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (22°) is a considerable increase over his 18.8° mark last season. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (34.1° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 22° seasonal angle.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.5°) is considerably higher than his 13° angle last year.

In the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 14.3%. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.8-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 93rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .291. Sporting a 0.84 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 99th percentile. Geraldo Perdomo has put up a .300 batting average this year, placing in the 91st percentile.