Final (10) Jul 9
LAD 2 -140 o8.5
MIL 3 +129 u8.5
Final Jul 9
TOR 1 -134 o8.0
CHW 2 +123 u8.0
Final Jul 9
PHI 13 -123 o8.0
SF 0 +114 u8.0
Final Jul 9
TB 7 +123 o8.0
DET 3 -134 u8.0
Final Jul 9
SEA 6 +138 o10.0
NYY 9 -150 u10.0
Final Jul 9
COL 2 +272 o9.0
BOS 10 -307 u9.0
Final Jul 9
MIA 2 +133 o9.0
CIN 7 -144 u9.0
Final Jul 9
CHC 2 +102 o9.0
MIN 4 -110 u9.0
Final Jul 9
PIT 3 +163 o8.5
KC 4 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 9
WAS 8 +160 o8.5
STL 2 -174 u8.5
Final Jul 9
CLE 4 +143 o7.5
HOU 2 -155 u7.5
Final Jul 9
TEX 8 -105 o9.5
LAA 11 -103 u9.5
Final Jul 9
AZ 8 +143 o7.5
SD 2 -155 u7.5
Final Jul 9
ATL 9 -128 o10.5
ATH 2 +118 u10.5

Arizona @ St. Louis picks

Busch Stadium

AZ vs STL Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
AZ (-130)
Best Odds
 -112 FanDuel
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
 -
 -120
 -112
 -115
 -
 -

The Diamondbacks are playing good baseball right now, despite losing two straight to the Dodgers. Everyone loses to the Dodgers. However, I'll happily back them to get back on track vs. an overrated Miles Mikolas. 

1st 5 Innings MoneyLine
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL 1st 5 Innings (+110)
Best Odds
 +100 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
 -172
 +100
 -
 -

Miles Mikolas has rebounded after a shaky start to the beginning of the season, following a bad end to last year. The 36-year-old righty has allowed one earned run or less in four of his previous five starts. It’s given me confidence to back the Cardinals early today with my best bet, especially at a plus-money price. I’m backing Mikolas in continuing his recent fine form. There’s a clear path for him. Although most of his underlying metrics were heavily influenced by a rough start, he’s still capable of elite players' ground ball-inducing starts. That should work well against the Arizona Diamondbacks, which ranks seventh among the majors in ground ball rates. I liked St. Louis to win on Friday night, but I saw a bigger edge on the first five numbers. My projections made the fair price -108, and I would play this all the way to even money. 

Strikeouts Thrown
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Best Odds
u4.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
u4.5  +100
u4.5  +105
 -
 -

Right-hander Zac Gallen takes the mound for Arizona and has regressed significantly this season. Gallen is 3-5 through 10 starts with a 5.14 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. His underlying metrics suggest continued struggles, as he ranks in the 39th percentile or lower in expected ERA (xERA), chase rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate. My MLB picks believe these woes are likely to continue against the current Cardinals roster, which boasts a .325 batting average, .600 slugging percentage, and .420 wOBA through 47 combined plate appearances against Gallen. Furthermore, St. Louis ranks sixth in the league in strikeout rate this season.

Game Prop
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
St. Louis Cardinals logo
Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: -115)
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Diamondbacks are third in the majors in OPS (.783) and score a run in the first inning at the fourth-highest rate (36%). They face Miles Mikolas who has 4.45 xERA through nine starts and has an ugly .350 OBA in the opening frame. The D-Backs respond with Zac Gallen who has pitched to a 5.14 ERA . He has a 8.10 ERA with an OBA of .295 in the first inning and won't find it easy to navigate a Cards lineup that leads the majors with a BA of .287 at home. 

Outs Recorded
Miles Mikolas logo Miles Mikolas o15.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Best Odds
o15.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 -
 -
 -
o15.5  +105
 -
 -

Miles Mikolas is not getting a lot of love in this prop but this is still a very efficient pitcher that when he is on, can get deep even on 85 pitches. He has gone Over this number in five of his last six starts and just threw 18 scoreless outs on 76 pitches. Even THE BAT likes this Over at plus money with a projection of 15.8 outs on just 84 pitches. Pencil him in for 20-23 batters faced as his 1.67 ERA over his last six starts might be lost here. He has also had to make six of his nine starts on the road this year, so a home start vs. a tough lineup might be a wash. The weather is in his favor with no rain and little winds, too. 

Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +180 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  +180
 -
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .223 figure is a good deal lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sports a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +145 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +145
 -
o1.5  +135
 -
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

AZ vs STL Consensus Picks

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AZ vs STL Top User Picks

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