Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Benjamin Williamson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 85.8-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) implies that Benjamin Williamson has had some very poor luck this year with his .251 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Dylan Moore with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Lance McCullers Jr. who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. In the past week, Randy Arozarena's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Despite posting a .315 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had some very poor luck given the .052 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .367.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Caratini has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last week. Victor Caratini has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today. J.P. Crawford has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Mauricio Dubon will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. By putting up a .271 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon grades out in the 82nd percentile.

Jose Altuve's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.

Jake Meyers's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jake Meyers has put up a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lance McCullers Jr.. The Barrel% of Cal Raleigh has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.5% last year to 21.6% this year. Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 21.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 14 days.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .237 figure is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Miles Mastrobuoni has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), checking in at the 84th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lance McCullers Jr.. Jorge Polanco has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last season to 14.4% this year.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side against Lance McCullers Jr. today. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 25%. There has been a significant improvement in Leody Taveras's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 24.4° this year.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.3% up to 50%. Over the past 7 days, Rowdy Tellez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph of late.