Atlanta @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst venue in baseball for RHB batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 11.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and even better, Williams has a large platoon split. Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver in today's game. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Tena are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver.

In MLB, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage in today's game. Hitters such as Robert Hassell III with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage today.

This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-strongest among every team playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Ozzie Albies's launch angle from last season's 18.2° to 21.2° this year. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Allen has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Nick Allen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trevor Williams who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-strongest among every team playing today. Nick Allen has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 89.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against AJ Smith-Shawver in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Drake Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Drake Baldwin has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-strongest among every team playing today.

This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Michael Harris II will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-strongest among every team playing today.

Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Alex Call's launch angle in recent games (30° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.2° seasonal mark. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-strongest among every team playing today.