NYM -130 o9.0
BAL +120 u9.0
CHC -111 o9.5
MIN +103 u9.5
NYM -159 o10.0
BAL +146 u10.0
MIA +149 o9.0
CIN -162 u9.0
SEA -104 o9.0
NYY -104 u9.0
TB -101 o9.5
BOS -107 u9.5
CLE -125 o8.5
CHW +115 u8.5
WAS +128 o9.0
STL -139 u9.0
ATL -144 o10.0
ATH +132 u10.0
TEX -112 o10.0
LAA +103 u10.0
AZ -114 o8.5
SD +105 u8.5

Baltimore @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Kristian Campbell will have an advantage today. Kristian Campbell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Kristian Campbell will have an advantage today. Kristian Campbell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (24.9°) is significantly better than his 21.5° angle last season.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (24.9°) is significantly better than his 21.5° angle last season.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Boston (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Boston (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Heston Kjerstad
H. Kjerstad
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Heston Kjerstad has experienced some negative variance this year with his .257 actual wOBA.

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Heston Kjerstad has experienced some negative variance this year with his .257 actual wOBA.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cade Povich. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today. Nick Sogard has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cade Povich. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today. Nick Sogard has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Adley Rutschman
A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Carlos Narvaez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 50%.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Carlos Narvaez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 50%.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Urias
R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ramon Urias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (31° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ramon Urias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (31° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge today. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge today. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jorge Mateo
J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's game. Rob Refsnyder pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's game. Rob Refsnyder pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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