Kansas City @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
KC vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
Kansas City has scored just 164 runs in its first 50 games (3.28 per game). Since a 10-run outburst against the White Sox on May 8, the Royals have just 24 runs in their last 11 games — and seven of those came in one game. The Royals have been held to three runs or fewer in 32 of 50 games. It's been so dire that the Under 2.5 (+118) could be worth a stab given Kansas City’s struggles.
Outs Recorded


Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jonathan Bowlan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Bowlan.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Bowlan throws from, Willy Adames will have a disadvantage today.. Typically, batters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jonathan Bowlan.
Total RBIs

Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jonathan Bowlan will hold the platoon advantage over Wilmer Flores today.. Extreme groundball batters like Wilmer Flores are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Bowlan.. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jonathan Bowlan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Bowlan.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Chapman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jonathan Bowlan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Bowlan.
Total Bases

Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Bowlan throws from, Willy Adames will have a disadvantage today.. Typically, batters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jonathan Bowlan.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Bowlan throws from, Willy Adames will have a disadvantage today.. Typically, batters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jonathan Bowlan.
Total Bases

Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jonathan Bowlan will hold the platoon advantage over Wilmer Flores today.. Extreme groundball batters like Wilmer Flores are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Bowlan.. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.