Baltimore @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Extreme flyball hitters like Brice Turang tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Brice Turang has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .297 rate is quite a bit higher than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Dylan Carlson has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.9° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (89th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 8.5%. Gunnar Henderson has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 4.08 K/BB rate.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ramon Urias's launch angle of late (31° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 10.9° seasonal angle.

The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough matchup today. In the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16% to 10.1%. Over the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's game. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this year (24.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 21.5° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.1-mph.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Bauers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Caleb Durbin has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 1.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batters such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Heston Kjerstad will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Isaac Collins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Eric Haase will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.