Detroit @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. Colt Keith has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 45.8% to 55.9%.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Kerry Carpenter has been pinch hit for 21% of the time. Kerry Carpenter pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.1%. Kerry Carpenter has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 6th percentile with a 5.87 K/BB rate.

Zach McKinstry has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.9%.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage today. Riley Greene has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 16.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Dillon Dingler's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Dillon Dingler has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 35.5° figure in the past week. Dillon Dingler has posted a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Pedro Pages's launch angle in recent games (54.5° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 15.9° seasonal mark.

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Last season, Gleyber Torres had an average launch angle of 14° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.7°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.379) implies that Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year with his .353 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge in today's game. Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Akil Baddoo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Akil Baddoo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .233 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276. Since the start of last season, Akil Baddoo's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.8 mph.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph average. Nolan Arenado's launch angle recently (22.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 16.9° seasonal figure.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Bats such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Erick Fedde who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Javier Baez has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week. Javier Baez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 92.5-mph in the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Javier Baez's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Spencer Torkelson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.4% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 26.3%.