Tampa Bay @ Toronto picks
Rogers Centre
TB vs TOR Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay boasts the third-lowest barrel rate while also ranking 23rd in OPS and 17th in wRC+. The Rays also have the seventh-highest strikeout rate when facing right-handed pitching. That means Chris Bassitt will have a great chance to pitch deep and rack up the strikeouts. Bassitt's strikeout prop is 5.5, a number he's topped in four of his eight starts. He also went Over this number in two of his three starts against the Rays last season and has a K-rate of nearly 26% against current Rays batters
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Christopher Morel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Christopher Morel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 100.8-mph in the past 7 days.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best field in the game for lefty home runs.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best field in the game for lefty home runs.. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Total RBIs

George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Anthony Santander o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best field in the game for lefty home runs.. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Anthony Santander has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.4-mph over the past week.
Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Christopher Morel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Christopher Morel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 100.8-mph in the past 7 days.