Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #6 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

Petco Park projects as the #25 field in the majors for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

The #6 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85.4-mph.

Petco Park projects as the #25 field in the majors for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Batting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Manny Machado will not have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

Yoan Moncada's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Dylan Cease. Yoan Moncada has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the last two weeks, Yoan Moncada's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 49.6%.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Kyren Paris has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Kyren Paris has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 47° mark in the past 7 days. Kyren Paris has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .175 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .199 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Logan O'Hoppe has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 12% rate last season to 17.9% this year. Logan O'Hoppe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 47.1% to 55.4%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Logan O'Hoppe's 65.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 55.4%.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 93.5-mph figure. Martin Maldonado's 17.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 84th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Extreme groundball bats like Tim Anderson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Tim Anderson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.1-mph average to last year's 85.9-mph figure. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tim Anderson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .208 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .222.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Zach Neto has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph EV. Compared to last season, Zach Neto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.6% to 54.5% this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand today. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph in recent games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Taylor Ward has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the last two weeks. Taylor Ward's launch angle this season (21.4°) is a significant increase over his 17.3° angle last year. Taylor Ward's launch angle in recent games (27.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 21.4° seasonal angle.

Luis Rengifo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Rengifo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Luis Rengifo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Luis Rengifo has been unlucky this year, notching a .234 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .060 gap. Luis Rengifo has put up a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand today. Nolan Schanuel has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last season's 7.3° to 16° this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In notching a .334 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jorge Soler finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.

Among all parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Over the last 7 days, Jo Adell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.7% up to 40%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jo Adell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 105.1-mph lately. When it comes to his batting average, Jo Adell has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .205 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jason Heyward has been unlucky this year, posting a .225 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .071 difference.