Boston @ Detroit picks

Detroit Tigers' outfielder Kerry Carpenter has been treating the cover off the baseball, batting .288 with nine home runs and 21 RBI. In fact, Carpenter is hitting .341 in May with a pair of homers. Five of Carpenter’s homers have come at Comerica Park, and seven of them are off righties. A lot is pointing towards the youngster hitting double digits in homers in Motown tonight. 

Red Sox starter Brayan Bello has a 2.02 ERA through four starts but his Statcast analytics suggest we'll see major regression. He's in the bottom 15th percentile in expected ERA (5.53), expected batting average (.285), and walk rate (12.8%). The Tigers are fourth in the majors in runs per game (5.43) and sixth in OPS (.755). They've been even better lately, batting .285 with an OPS of .822 over the last 15 days.

Red Sox starter Brayan Bello has a 2.02 ERA through four starts but his xERA(5.53), xBA (.285) indicate major regression. He'll face a Tigers lineup that is fourth in runs per game (5.43) and is red-hot, batting .285 with an OPS of .822 over the last 15 days. The Red Sox can also mash, leading the majors in exit velocity and hard hit rate, while ranking second in barrel rate. Tyler Holton will work as the opener for Detroit and he has an xERA of 4.46 in 15 relief appearances.