San Diego @ Colorado Picks & Props

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado today. In the last 7 days, Manny Machado's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Stephen Kolek will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Goodman in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 20.8% to 13.5%. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 13.5% on the season to 8.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game. Batters such as Mickey Moniak with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Stephen Kolek will have the handedness advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Brenton Doyle's skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Jordan Beck will not have the upper hand today. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .069 difference. Jordan Beck has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 5.23 K/BB rate. Posting a .195 batting average since the start of last season, Jordan Beck grades out in the 4th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge today. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 87.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 85.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (16.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.3° angle last year.

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 20%. Bradley Blalock will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts today. Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 87.7 mph. In the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.226) provides evidence that Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .207 actual batting average.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Alan Trejo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alan Trejo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .175 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .229.

The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage against Bradley Blalock in today's game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Fernando Tatis Jr. has posted a .372 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 94th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.