Texas @ Detroit picks

Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal has cashed the Under in four of his last five outings. He gave up a mere one earned run to the Los Angeles Angels on May 2 and had a pair of three scoreless starts in four appearances before that. He’s truly one of the best in the game. As for facing the Texas Rangers, the southpaw compiled a 2.19 ERA against them last season across two starts. Texas is also just 3-7 in their last 10 games and has lost two in a row. The Rangers’ offense is one of the worst in the majors, ranking 28th in runs scored, 25th in hits, and 25th in team average. Skubal’s ERA lowers to 1.06 at home as well. He will carve tonight.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Riley Greene has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.1% over the past 14 days.

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. Corey Seager has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph EV.. In the past week, Corey Seager's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. With a .332 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Josh Smith finds himself in the 75th percentile.. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Josh Smith has notched a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. Corey Seager has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph EV.. In the past week, Corey Seager's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Andy Ibanez has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of all games today.. Andy Ibanez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.. When it comes to his batting average, Andy Ibanez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .245 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Detroit Tigers today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .313, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.. It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Detroit Tigers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Malachi Moore) behind the plate in today's game.. The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Comerica Park.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of all games today.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Riley Greene has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.1% over the past 14 days.