Miami @ Chicago props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of the day at 54°. Bryse Wilson will have the handedness advantage over Eric Wagaman in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eric Wagaman in today's game. In the last 7 days, Eric Wagaman's 19.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.7%.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of the day at 54°. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.1-mph EV last year has dropped off to 83.9-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.3°) is considerably lower than his 10.8° angle last year. Posting a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 13th percentile for hitting ability.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of the day at 54°. Bryse Wilson will have the handedness advantage over Agustin Ramirez today. Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Putting up a 4° launch angle in the last two weeks' worth of games suggests that Agustin Ramirez has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Batters such as Miguel Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Meyer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage today.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 8th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryse Wilson. Dane Myers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph in recent games.

Edgar Quero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Josh Rojas is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Sanoja generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryse Wilson.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Connor Norby has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, compiling a 21.8° angle on such balls over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, Connor Norby grades out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .322.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 20% this season.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's game.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt Mervis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty batting average. Jacob Amaya has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Jacob Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.209) provides evidence that Jacob Amaya has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .150 actual wOBA.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Joshua Palacios will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Joshua Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Maton has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.