Miami @ Chicago picks

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #3 park in the game for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. Batters such as Miguel Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Meyer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.. The #7 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The 4th-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Meyer in today's matchup.