Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 15.4% seasonal rate to 25.9% in the past 14 days.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo's large platoon split. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. George Springer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph average. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 48.4% on the season to 60% over the last two weeks.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Over the last week, Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 93-mph of late. There has been a significant improvement in Ernie Clement's launch angle from last year's 16.2° to 24.1° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Nathan Lukes may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Nathan Lukes has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Jonatan Clase pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Jonatan Clase is notably quick, checking in at the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.02 ft/sec since the start of last season.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 94-mph mark.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has had some very poor luck given the .057 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Benjamin Williamson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Benjamin Williamson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kevin Gausman who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Benjamin Williamson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is deflated compared to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 93.5-mph in the last week. Cal Raleigh's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (23° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 19.1° seasonal angle.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. Rowdy Tellez has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 15.3% this season.

Tyler Heineman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Leody Taveras's launch angle this year (24.9°) is a significant increase over his 14.1° angle last season. Checking in at the 94th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Leody Taveras demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Dylan Moore has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18% to 24.6% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last year to 15.8% this season.