Baltimore @ Minnesota picks

The Orioles are a mess right now, and I'll continue to fade them, especially with Dean Kremer on the bump. Kremer has been hit hard and has given up 10 runs across his last three starts. The Twins' offense is starting to come around and behind Joe Ryan, who's been solid, they should pick up the win. 

Orioles righty Dean Kremer’s lack of strikeouts is primarily responsible for the 5+ earned runs he’s surrendered in four of seven starts. Batters are cracking his cutter for a .314 BA in four of six previous starts. Kremer faces a lineup that doesn’t strike out much, with 14 runs in this series, and I’m betting they chase Kremer early today. 

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Out of every team in action today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and the cherry on top, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Gunnar Henderson will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst out of every team on the slate today.. Byron Buxton is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams today).

It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) calling pitches in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for BABIP.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Bailey Ober (41.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Baltimore's projected offense.. Out of every team in action today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of every team in action today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst out of every team on the slate today.. Byron Buxton is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams today).

The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of every team in action today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. In terms of his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.. The standard deviation of Emmanuel Rivera's launch angle since the start of last season (24.5°) is in the 98th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

The 10th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Target Field.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and the cherry on top, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Gunnar Henderson will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.