Los Angeles @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tony Gonsolin. Dane Myers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Dane Myers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 37.5%.

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. In today's game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.1% rate (97th percentile). Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 87.1-mph average last year has decreased to 83.5-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° angle last year.

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Freddie Freeman has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman today. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .441 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .365 — a .076 discrepancy.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Andy Pages encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Typically, batters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cal Quantrill. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andy Pages in today's matchup.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mookie Betts usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Extreme groundball bats like Ronny Simon tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tony Gonsolin. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage in today's game. Ronny Simon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.5-mph. Ronny Simon has been hot of late, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the past week. Ronny Simon has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tony Gonsolin. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Connor Norby will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Connor Norby has compiled a .321 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Norby is ranked in the 78th percentile.

Enrique Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Enrique Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.9% rate last season to 15.2% this season. Enrique Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last year's 90.1-mph average. Last year, Enrique Hernandez had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.9°.

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .292 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Eric Wagaman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) may lead us to conclude that Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Tony Gonsolin in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .313 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Miguel Rojas has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last season's 85-mph figure. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.4% to 15.4%. Using Statcast metrics, Miguel Rojas grades out in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .281.

Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Agustin Ramirez has been very consistent with his lately, putting up a 33° launch angle standard deviation in the past week.

Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Conforto has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Conforto's true offensive talent to be a .315, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .063 gap between that mark and his actual .252 wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 20.7% this season. Kyle Stowers has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.7-mph average.

Batting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage today.

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage today. Max Muncy may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Max Muncy's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (33.7° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 21.6° seasonal angle.

Chris Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.