Cincinnati @ Atlanta picks

Braves catcher Sean Murphy has seven home runs in only 19 games while slugging .551. There is no better time for him to smack homer No. 8 than tonight vs. the Reds and SP Brady Singer. Murphy has destroyed him, going 5-for-8 lifetime with two homers.

Playing the Atlanta Braves has usually elicited a special performance from Elly De La Cruz. I think this series could see a few of them. Last season, he batted .400 with an OPS of .720 against them, and the year before it was .385 and .846. In addition, there were a couple of special moments against the Braves that helped build his stardom, like when he hit for the cycle during his rookie season in a wild 11-10 win. Of course, this provides merely a footnote for why we're taking him to record an RBI as our best bet. It's about this evening's matchup, which is a great one in a very favorable park for him at Truist Park. It certainly helps that I project about a 5% edge against this number as well.

This is a very good price for a prop that projects to win at just under 50% today. Brady Singer might be 4-2 to the Over on this prop but all four of those Overs have come at GABP which he is adjusting to in what is his first year with the Cincinnati Reds. He has made two road starts this season and has allowed just one walk across 11 innings. The Atlanta Braves strike out a lot and have some bad plate discipline numbers which could be the difference tonight on this plus-money prop. Across Singer’s last four seasons, he is walking just 0.28 batters per inning. This is a better sample than his 2025 numbers, which is where this number for our MLB picks is coming from.

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against AJ Smith-Shawver.

Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Austin Riley projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batters such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.